Seriously? They’re going to go there? I hate to burst your bubble, but it’s not going to happen. Even if the people supporting California ceding from the United States get the issue of ceding onto a ballot for vote this coming March, they face insurmountable odds. Let’s talk about them, shall we?
Yes California and their supporters must gain 400,000 signatures to get calexit on the ballot for the voters to vote on. The last attempt that was made by calexit failed miserably. If they do manage to get the required amount of signatures, it will be on the ballot in 2018.
Depending on what route they take (they listed 2 on their website) the obstacles are different. Let’s start with option 1 which I took from their website:
A member of the California federal delegation to Washington would propose an Amendment to the U.S. Constitution allowing the State of California to withdraw from the Union. The Amendment would have to be approved by 2/3 of the House of Representatives and 2/3 of the Senate. If the Amendment passed it would be sent to the fifty state legislatures to be considered (to satisfy the “consent of the states” requirement in Texas v. White). It would need to be accepted by at least 38 of the 50 state legislatures to be adopted.
OK, so we start with:
An amendment to the Constitution will be required. For that it must gain 2/3 of the votes in the House, and then 2/3 in the Senate. Seeing that both the Senate and the House of Representatives are controlled by the Republicans (will be referred to later as GOP), they won’t go for the idea.
Why? Because they understand that if California leaves the union, it would disrupt military operations, as well as business because many of the sea ports in the United States is there. Also, what about the Americans that don’t want to move, but remain in America. Quite honestly, I believe that the Yes California and their supporters are in the minority.
Now if by chance the measure does pass the GOP controlled congress, this Happens:
Now the measure must go to the rest of the states to be approved. The measure must be approved by 38 of the 50 states. Seeing that the majority of the country is conservative, it probably won’t pass. Especially by New York. There’s a high probability that California ceding would cause a monumental crash of the stock market here, and impact stock markets around the world. In other words, it would hurt everyone.
OK, now on to option two, this I have also taken from Yes California’s website:
California could call for a convention of the states (which is currently being organized to tackle other constitutional amendments as we speak) and the Amendment granting California its independence would have to be approved by 2/3 of the delegates to this convention. If it passed, the Amendment would be sent to the fifty state legislatures to be considered and 38 of the 50 states would have to approve the measure in order for it to be adopted.
OK, so this one has a
Convention of states
The convention of states requires at least 34 of the 50 state legislatures to submit applications to congress for the same reason to ratify a convention of states. Then once ratified, the states select their representatives to attend the convention. As mentioned above, at least 2/3 of the delegates must approve. If approved it will go to the:
Once approved at the convention it goes to the state legislatures across the United States for approval. Now, many of the states won’t go for the same reasons that I gave for option 1.
This just won’t work. California wouldn’t be allowed to cede from the United States. In my opinion, I say let them cede. Then make a law ordering all liberals and Democrats to move to the new Country of California.
With that said, I wonder if they know that if they cede, the United States will not have to protect them any further with our military. Also, I imagine many companies would move out of the state, because if Donald Trump is still in office, he’ll impose very high tariffs on them because they will be considered a foreign nation. Also, there will be no funding from the United States federal government or Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid…
Liberals aren’t very smart, are they?